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效率与协作 · SKILL.md

rent-vs-buy

rent-vs-buy

【效率与协作】Model rent-vs-buy honestly — year-by-year net position for both paths including the assumption everyone drops (the renter invests the difference), with a breakeven horizon instead of a verdict. Use when asked should I rent or buy, does buying beat renting in my city, when does buying break even, or run the rent-vs-buy numbers. Produces the year-by-ye…

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技能说明

GitHub

name: rent-vs-buy description: "Model rent-vs-buy honestly — year-by-year net position for both paths including the assumption everyone drops (the renter invests the difference), with a breakeven horizon instead of a verdict. Use when asked should I rent or buy, does buying beat renting in my city, when does buying break even, or run the rent-vs-buy numbers. Produces the year-by-year comparison table, the breakeven year, the assumption list with defaults labeled, and the not-modeled list."

Rent vs Buy Skill

Rent-vs-buy arguments are usually two people comparing different questions: one counts equity and forgets transaction costs and carry; the other counts rent as "thrown away" and forgets the renter can invest the difference. This skill runs the symmetric model — both paths get their real costs and their real compounding — and delivers a breakeven horizon, because the honest answer is almost always "it depends how long you stay."

What This Skill Produces

  • The year-by-year table — owner net position (equity minus selling costs) vs renter net position (invested savings), per year
  • The breakeven year — before it, renting won; after it, buying won, on the stated assumptions
  • The assumption ledger — every input labeled, defaults flagged as defaults
  • The not-modeled list — taxes/deductions, renovation risk, the non-financials — stated up front

Required Inputs

Ask for these if not provided:

  • Home price and comparable monthly rent — same home, same neighborhood; comparing a condo rent to a house purchase is the classic apples-to-oranges error
  • Down payment %, mortgage rate, term (defaults 20% / 6.5% / 30yr, labeled)
  • How long they expect to stay — the single most decision-relevant input
  • Growth assumptions — appreciation, rent growth, investment return (defaults 3/3/5%, labeled)

Programmatic Helper

python3 scripts/rent_vs_buy.py --price 450000 --rent 2200
python3 scripts/rent_vs_buy.py --price 450000 --rent 2200 --horizon 10 --appreciation 2 --json

Deterministic. The renter's pot starts at the down payment + closing costs (the money a buyer parts with on day one) and each year absorbs the difference between owner outflow and rent. Selling costs are applied at every horizon — equity you can't access without paying 7% isn't fully yours.

Framework: The Symmetry Rules

  • The renter invests the difference — the model's load-bearing assumption; a renter who spends the difference makes buying win almost automatically, and that's a behavior question, not a math question. Say so.
  • Carry costs are real — tax, insurance, maintenance (~2%/yr of value) never build equity; "my mortgage is like rent" omits them
  • Transaction costs decide short horizons — ~3% in and ~7% out is why breakeven is measured in years, not months
  • Appreciation is an assumption, not a birthright — vary it before trusting a conclusion; a 1-point change often moves breakeven by years
  • The output is a horizon, not a verdict — "buying wins if you stay past year N" is the honest deliverable

Output Format


Rent vs Buy: [scenario]

The Table and the Breakeven

[Script output: year-by-year net positions, breakeven year]

What the Breakeven Means

[Two sentences: how the user's expected stay compares to the breakeven, and which assumption the conclusion is most hostage to.]

What This Model Ignores

Taxes and deductions (jurisdiction-specific) · renovation and repair surprises · rate refinancing · the non-financials (stability, flexibility, the yard) — which are allowed to outvote the math.

Educational model, not financial advice — verify with a licensed professional before acting on it.


Quality Checks

  • The renter-invests-the-difference assumption is stated explicitly
  • Selling costs are inside the owner's net position at every horizon
  • The breakeven year is compared against how long the user expects to stay
  • At least one sensitivity note (appreciation or investment return varied)
  • The disclaimer line appears in the artifact

Anti-Patterns

  • Do not declare a universal winner — the deliverable is a breakeven horizon
  • Do not count rent as "thrown away" without counting interest, tax, and maintenance the same way
  • Do not compare non-comparable homes (rent a 1BR vs buy a 3BR)
  • Do not model jurisdiction-specific tax benefits — name them as unmodeled instead
  • Do not let the math silently overrule stated non-financial priorities — surface the tension

Example Trigger Phrases

  • "Should I rent or buy?"
  • "Does buying beat renting where I live?"
  • "Run the rent-vs-buy numbers."
  • "How long until buying breaks even?"
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