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s4h-decision-reversibility-analysis【数据与研究】Categorises a decision by reversibility and applies the appropriate level of process rigour. Triggers: 'is this reversible', 'how much should I think about this', 'one-way door', 'two-way door', 'decision type', 'how committed is this'.
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Most people apply the same amount of thinking to every decision. This is wrong in both directions: it produces analysis paralysis on easy reversible choices, and recklessness on decisions that cannot be undone. The right question before deciding is not "what should I choose?" — it is "how much should I invest in choosing?"
Step 1: State the Decision Write the decision clearly. Include what is actually being committed to — not the framing, the underlying commitment.
Framing check: Confirm the decision and its underlying commitment before continuing. State what you've identified — the actual decision being assessed and what would be locked in if made — in one sentence, then use AskUserQuestion:
Step 2: Assess Reversal Cost If this decision turns out to be wrong, how expensive is it to undo? Consider: financial cost, time cost, relationship or trust cost, technical debt introduced, market position lost, and optionality foreclosed. Be concrete — not "expensive" but "six months of re-architecture and two broken partnerships."
Step 3: Classify — Type 1 or Type 2
Step 4: Apply the Appropriate Process
Step 5: Flag Misclassification Risk Some decisions feel reversible but aren't. Network effects, sunk cost psychology, technical lock-in, and relationship damage can make nominal two-way doors practically one-way. Identify these explicitly.
Before proceeding, use the AskUserQuestion tool. State your interpretation of the situation in 1–2 sentences — what is being analyzed and what the core question is — then ask:
Proceed based on their selection. If the user reframes, incorporate the correction before running any analysis.
Decision: [Statement — including the underlying commitment]
Reversal cost:
[Concrete statement of what undoing this actually costs — time / money / relationships / technical / optionality]
Classification: Type 1 (one-way door) / Type 2 (two-way door)
Recommended process level:
| Type | Process |
|---|---|
| Type 1 | Slow down — broad consultation, explicit success criteria, full rigour |
| Type 2 | Decide quickly — set review point, move, learn |
Misclassification risk:
[Reasons this might be harder to reverse than it appears — or easier]
Recommendation:
[Classification + what to do next based on it]
The most expensive error is treating a Type 1 decision as Type 2 — deciding quickly on something that cannot be undone. But the second-most expensive error is treating Type 2 decisions as Type 1, because the opportunity cost of delay is real and cumulative.
After delivering this output, use AskUserQuestion to offer the next move:
/s4h-decision-premortem-analysis — If it's a one-way door, stress-test it thoroughly/s4h-decision-criteria-weighting — Weight decision criteria differently given reversibility level/s4h-resource-allocation-analysis — Calibrate resource investment to match reversibility