技能创建器
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创建、改进和评估自定义技能,把专业流程转化为可重复使用的 AI 能力。
asr-data-analysis【数据与研究】Use when executing and reporting the analysis for an American Sociological Review (ASR) manuscript so it survives expert masked review — honest uncertainty, robustness, and evidence handling appropriate to quantitative, demographic, comparative-historical, or computational sociology. Guides analysis norms; it does not fabricate results.
独立 GitHub 快照 · 自动分类 · 以原作者文档为准
ASR reviewers are methodologically demanding across very different traditions. Whether your evidence
is regression coefficients, life tables, archival sequences, or coded fieldnotes, the analysis must be
transparent, well-documented, and reproducible to the extent your data allow. Design decisions live in
asr-research-design.
renv.lock, requirements.txt, recorded ssc/net installs).As the ASA's flagship, ASR draws referees who police analysis on each tradition's terms while asking one disciplinary question — does the evidence warrant a claim that speaks to general sociological theory? Use this table to pre-empt the masked reviewer.
| Reviewer probe | Clears the ASR bar | Triggers a revision flag |
|---|---|---|
| "Just a significant coefficient?" | magnitude + interval tied to a mechanism | stars-only, no interpretation |
| "Survives a reasonable confounder?" | sensitivity bound reported | one preferred spec, no probing |
| "Weighted and clustered right?" | design-respecting SEs | default SEs on a complex sample |
| "Where is disconfirming evidence?" | negative cases / null subgroups | only confirming evidence |
| "Heterogeneity real or mined?" | pre-specified or MHT-adjusted | one fished interaction theorized post hoc |
A hypothetical ASR study links employer credit-checking to a Black-white callback gap using administrative hiring records across 1,200 firms.
Main effect: callback gap 8.0 pp (95% CI 5.1–10.9) under firm + occupation FE
Mechanism: gap concentrated in customer-facing roles (11.2 pp) vs back-office (2.3 pp)
Sensitivity: a confounder must be ~1.7× the strongest covariate to nullify
Negative case: no gap where state law bans the practice (0.4 pp, CI −2.0–2.8) → boundary evidence
Reproducible: one master script, seed=2026, renv.lock pinned
The intervals carry the claim, the role contrast names a portable mechanism (statistical discrimination via screening signals), and the law-ban null is reported as evidence, not buried.
Run the battery, don't just enumerate it. Full map:
execution-with-mcp. ASR is general sociology where observational designs dominate; foreground identification (DiD/IV/RDD), decomposition, and clustered inference.
romano_wolf (step-down FWER) or
benjamini_hochberg — report the adjusted threshold.oster_delta / sensemakr.wild_cluster_bootstrap (few clusters), twoway_cluster / conley;
multilevel data → cluster at the right level.audit_result(result_id) lists the missing checks and the
exact suggest_function for each.etable / did_summary_to_latex from the handle — no retyped numbers.Keep the decisive checks in the body and the exhaustive battery in the supplement. See the executed chain in the JF execution walkthrough.
【Main result】magnitude + interval (quant) OR evidence chain (qual)
【Identification/grounding check】(per research-design) result
【Robustness / negative cases】what held
【Heterogeneity】pre-specified? MHT-adjusted? (quant)
【Reproducible】master script + seeds + pinned versions OR documented codebook? [Y/N]
【Next】asr-tables-figures
../../resources/external_tools.md — estimation, demography, networks, and text-as-data packages../../resources/official-source-map.md — ASA data-sharing norms