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Productivity · SKILL.md

market-mechanics-betting

market-mechanics-betting

Translates beliefs (probabilities) into optimal actions (bet/pass/hedge) using quantitative frameworks including edge calculation, Kelly Criterion bet sizing, forecast extremizing, and Brier score optimization. Use when converting probabilities into decisions, calculating edge against market odds, sizing bets optimally, extremizing aggregated forecasts, imp…

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Llyndonkl / claudeNOASSERTION

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