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name: winback-playbook description: "Turn an at-risk or churned account into a save play — root-cause hypothesis, the offer ladder, the outreach sequence, and the honest call on when to let go. Use when asked to save a churning customer, build a win-back plan, re-engage a lost account, or stop a renewal from slipping. Produces the churn diagnosis, a ranked set of save levers, a timed outreach sequence, and the walk-away line so you don't over-invest in an account that's gone."

Win-back Playbook

Most churn saves fail because they lead with a discount before anyone knows why the customer is leaving. This starts with the diagnosis — is it value, fit, budget, a champion who left, or a competitor? — then matches the save lever to the cause, sequences the outreach, and sets a walk-away point so a healthy team doesn't burn a month chasing an account that was never coming back.

What This Skill Produces

• The churn diagnosis — the most likely root cause(s), and the evidence for each
• The save ladder — levers ranked by cost and fit-to-cause (not "offer 20% off" reflexively)
• The outreach sequence — who reaches out, when, with what message
• The walk-away line — the signal that says stop, and the graceful close (leave the door open)

Required Inputs

Ask for these if not provided:

• The account — size (ARR), tenure, product usage trend, and how they're leaving (churned vs at-risk renewal)
• What you know — stated reason, support history, champion status, usage drop, competitor mentions
• Your levers — what you can actually offer (discount, plan change, roadmap commitment, exec sponsor, services)
• Economics — the account's value vs. the cost/effort to save it

Framework: Diagnose Before You Discount

1. Find the real cause. Value not realised, wrong fit, budget cut, champion departed, competitor won, or product gap — each needs a different save.
2. Match lever to cause. A discount fixes budget, not value; a champion loss needs a new relationship, not a coupon.
3. Sequence, don't spray. Diagnostic call → tailored offer → exec touch, timed to the renewal clock.
4. Set the walk-away. Define the "this account is gone" signal in advance so effort is bounded.
5. Close gracefully either way. A well-handled loss can return in a year; a desperate one won't.

Output Format

Win-back Plan — [account] · [$ARR] · [at-risk / churned]

Diagnosis: most likely cause(s), with evidence · Save odds: honest read

Save ladder (ranked)

Lever	Fixes which cause	Cost/effort	Use when

Outreach sequence

Day	Who	Channel	Message focus

Walk-away

• Stop if: [signal]. Graceful close: [message that leaves the door open].

Quality Checks

• A root-cause diagnosis precedes any offer
• Each save lever is matched to a specific cause, not applied blanket
• The sequence is timed to the renewal/churn clock
• A walk-away signal is defined, with the account's economics behind it
• The plan is honest about save odds — no false hope
• The close preserves the relationship if the save fails

Anti-Patterns

• Leading with a discount before diagnosing — trains customers to churn for a deal.
• One-size outreach regardless of cause.
• No walk-away — a healthy team drained by an unsavable account.
• Guessing the cause when you could ask — the diagnostic call is the first step.
• Burning the relationship with a desperate final push.

Example Trigger Phrases

• "Build a win-back plan for a churning enterprise account."
• "This renewal is slipping — help me save it."
• "Re-engage a customer who left for a competitor."
• "Give me a save play and tell me when to walk away."