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threat-model

threat-model

Threat modeling and attack surface analysis. Use when assessing security boundaries, modeling threat actors, or generating threat scenarios.

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name: threat-model description: "Threat modeling and attack surface analysis. Use when assessing security boundaries, modeling threat actors, or generating threat scenarios."

Threat Model — Attack Surface Analysis

Iron Law

Every system has an attack surface. If you haven't identified it, you haven't secured it.

Process

Step 0: Load Engagement Context

Check for .harness/engagement.md in the project root. If present, load the scope (in-scope/out-of-scope) and constraints. Skip threat modeling for explicitly out-of-scope components.

Without engagement context, proceed with full-surface analysis.

Step 1: Identify Trust Boundaries

Map every boundary where data crosses a trust level:

  1. External → Internal: API endpoints, webhooks, file uploads, user input
  2. Internal → Privileged: DB queries, file system access, shell execution
  3. Service → Service: Inter-service communication, message queues, shared state
  4. Client → Server: Auth tokens, session state, CORS origins

For each boundary, document:

  • Data flow direction
  • Input validation present (yes/no/partial)
  • Authentication required (yes/no)
  • Encryption in transit (yes/no)

Step 2: Enumerate Threat Actors

ActorMotivationCapabilityTarget
Anonymous userExplorationLowPublic endpoints
Authenticated userData accessMediumOwn data + IDOR targets
Malicious insiderData exfiltrationHighAll internal systems
Compromised dependencySupply chainVariableBuild/deploy pipeline

Step 3: Generate Threat Scenarios

For each trust boundary × threat actor combination, generate:

  1. Attack vector: How the boundary is crossed maliciously
  2. Impact: What is compromised (CIA triad — Confidentiality, Integrity, Availability)
  3. Likelihood: High/Medium/Low based on exposure and complexity
  4. Existing mitigations: What already prevents this
  5. Gap: What is missing

Step 4: Produce Output

Write THREAT_MODEL.md:

# Threat Model — {project}

## Scope
- In-scope: {from engagement.md or full codebase}
- Out-of-scope: {from engagement.md or none}
- Date: {ISO date}

## Trust Boundaries
| # | Boundary | Direction | Validation | Auth | Encryption |
|---|----------|-----------|------------|------|------------|
| 1 | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |

## Threat Scenarios
| ID | Boundary | Actor | Vector | Impact | Likelihood | Mitigated | Gap |
|----|----------|-------|--------|--------|------------|-----------|-----|
| T1 | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | Partial | ... |

## Priority Remediation
1. [CRITICAL] {highest risk gap}
2. [HIGH] {next gap}
3. [MEDIUM] {remaining gaps}

## Assumptions
- {list all assumptions made during analysis}

Step 5: Feed into vuln-scan

After producing the threat model, suggest: "Run /vuln-scan to validate threat scenarios against the codebase."

Anti-Rationalization

ExcuseRebuttalWhat to do instead
"We don't have any external-facing components"Internal trust boundaries are attack surfaces too. Lateral movement starts inside.Model internal boundaries with the same rigor.
"Threat modeling is overkill for a small project"Small projects get breached too. The model is proportional to the codebase.Run the process. It takes 10 minutes. A breach takes months.
"We already have a threat model"Threat models expire. Every code change can invalidate assumptions.Update the model when significant changes land.
"The framework handles security"Frameworks don't model YOUR business logic threats.Add application-layer threat scenarios on top of framework defaults.

Evidence Required

  • Every trust boundary in the codebase identified
  • At least 2 threat scenarios per boundary
  • Each scenario has impact, likelihood, and gap assessment
  • Priority remediation list ordered by risk
  • Assumptions explicitly listed (not hidden)

Red Flags

  • Skipping boundaries because they're "internal"
  • Listing only one threat scenario per boundary
  • Marking all scenarios as "already mitigated" without evidence
  • No assumptions section — means assumptions are hidden, not absent
  • Threat model that doesn't reference actual code paths
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