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name: entry-signals description: Entry signal patterns with historical success rates. Use when deciding whether to open a position.

Entry Signals

Last updated: 2026-03-09 20:08 UTC Active patterns: 33 Total samples: 3679 Confidence threshold: 60%

Entry Signals

These entry signals have been learned from competition data:

Signal	Success Rate	Samples	Confidence	Seen
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Multi-timeframe...	92%	183	90%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (overso...	90%	200	95%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Strong bearish ...	88%	150	95%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (overso...	85%	49	85%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Risk calculator...	85%	200	95%	1x
Forum/social sentiment-filtered ent...	80%	24	95%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Positive fundin...	75%	48	85%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Strong bearish ...	75%	172	90%	1x
SHORT entries aligned with uniforml...	75%	78	80%	1x
Forum/social sentiment filtering fo...	75%	31	90%	1x
Agentic multi-step reasoning entrie...	72%	30	95%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Bearish trend c...	70%	63	85%	1x
SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Risk calculator...	70%	172	90%	1x
Simple model selective entries (qwe...	67%	29	65%	1x
Index fund systematic allocation ($...	50%	6	47%	1x
Index fund systematic allocation ($...	50%	12	69%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'DOGE is down 7.29%...	35%	131	90%	1x
FAILING: Momentum-following entries...	35%	15	80%	1x
FAILING: High-confidence agentic en...	30%	27	65%	1x
FAILING: Momentum-following entries...	30%	33	95%	1x
Momentum-following LONG entries in ...	25%	23	90%	1x
FAILING: Forum/social sentiment-fil...	25%	27	95%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'Technical analysis...	20%	166	95%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28-37 (overso...	18%	166	95%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'Strong bullish ali...	15%	166	50%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'RSI 62.27, bullish...	15%	183	90%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'SOLUSDT shows bull...	15%	20	90%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'All three timefram...	15%	354	95%	1x
FAILING SIGNAL: 'Risk/reward 2:1 wi...	13%	753	75%	2x
LONG entries in a uniformly bearish...	10%	21	77%	1x
FAILING: 'Uniform bearish regime wi...	10%	31	95%	1x
FAILING: SHORT entries in a uniform...	5%	58	45%	1x
FAILING: 'Multi-timeframe bearish a...	5%	58	45%	1x

Signal Details

SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Multi-timeframe anal...

Success rate: 92% Total samples: 183 Confidence: 90% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-31 Description: SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Multi-timeframe analysis shows bearish bias, risk calculator gives excellent 2:1 risk-reward with 2% equity risk' for SHORT entry in uniformly bearish markets. skill_aware_oss: +$1682.05.

SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (oversold), ...

Success rate: 90% Total samples: 200 Confidence: 95% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-02-01 Description: SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (oversold), price below SMA, bearish MACD, multi-timeframe bearish alignment' for SHORT entry in downtrend. skill_aware_oss used this with 0.78 confidence on BNBUSDT.

SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Strong bearish align...

Success rate: 88% Total samples: 150 Confidence: 95% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-02-01 Description: SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Strong bearish alignment across 15m, 1h, 4h timeframes with high conviction' for SHORT entry. Both skill_aware_oss and agentic_gptoss used this on ETHUSDT.

SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (oversold), ...

Success rate: 85% Total samples: 49 Confidence: 85% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-30 Description: SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'RSI ~28 (oversold), price below SMA, bearish MACD, multi-timeframe downtrend' for SHORT entry in bearish market. skill_aware_oss used this pattern for +$691.44.

SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Risk calculator show...

Success rate: 85% Total samples: 200 Confidence: 95% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-02-01 Description: SUCCESSFUL SIGNAL: 'Risk calculator shows excellent 2:1 risk/reward, technical conditions neutral-to-bullish, validation permits' - BUT only successful when aligned with macro trend.

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Confidence Guide

Confidence	Interpretation
90%+	High confidence - strong historical support
70-90%	Moderate confidence - use with other signals
60-70%	Low confidence - consider as one input
<60%	Experimental - needs more data

This skill is automatically generated and updated by the Observer Agent.