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modeling-revenue-metrics

modeling-revenue-metrics

Build reusable revenue models — MRR, ARR, gross revenue, new/expansion/contraction/churn, ARPU, LTV, and per-customer/per-account revenue — on either PostHog data-warehouse views (HogQL) or an external dbt project. Use when the user wants to model, define, or compute recurring revenue, monthly/annual recurring revenue, churn or retention of revenue, lifetim…

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name: modeling-revenue-metrics description: > Build reusable revenue models — MRR, ARR, gross revenue, new/expansion/contraction/churn, ARPU, LTV, and per-customer/per-account revenue — on either PostHog data-warehouse views (HogQL) or an external dbt project. Use when the user wants to model, define, or compute recurring revenue, monthly/annual recurring revenue, churn or retention of revenue, lifetime value, average revenue per user, or revenue by customer, cohort, product, or currency. On PostHog, build on the managed *_revenue_view views (revenue_item, mrr, customer, subscription, charge, product) fed by Stripe or custom revenue events — not raw Stripe tables — and normalize money with convertCurrency(). In dbt, stage the payment source and compute fct_mrr / fct_revenue_item / dim_customer marts with tests. Covers picking the right source, the subscription-config gotcha that leaves MRR empty, currency handling, and linking revenue to persons/groups. Read modeling-warehouse-foundations first for the view-vs-dbt mechanics.

Modeling revenue metrics

Turn payment/subscription data into durable revenue models. Read modeling-warehouse-foundations first for the view-vs-dbt decision, the view-* workflow, and convertCurrency(); this skill is the revenue-specific layer on top. Metric definitions live in references/revenue-metric-definitions.md; copy-paste recipes in references/posthog/ and references/dbt/.

Step 1 — find where revenue lives

Revenue reaches PostHog two ways; both feed the same managed revenue views:

  • A payment platform as a warehouse source — Stripe today (Chargebee/Polar/RevenueCat coming). Best when the business runs on a billing platform. Connect via setting-up-a-data-warehouse-source.
  • Custom revenue events — you send events (e.g. purchase_completed) with a revenue property. Best when there's no supported platform or you already track revenue in-product.

If neither exists yet, use suggesting-data-imports to recommend a source. In dbt, the equivalent is staging whichever billing tables landed in the warehouse.

Step 2 — model on the managed views, not raw tables

PostHog auto-generates a curated set of views per source. Do not re-derive revenue from raw Stripe tables — the managed views already handle deferred-revenue recognition, currency, and a stable schema.

Each source gets its own views. There is no cross-source view. Names depend on the source type:

  • Warehouse source: <source>.<prefix>.<kind>_revenue_view, for example stripe.prod.mrr_revenue_view. The <prefix>. part is absent when the source has no prefix.
  • Custom revenue events: revenue_analytics.events.<event_name>.<kind>_events_revenue_view, where every non-alphanumeric character in the event name becomes _.

<kind> is one of the managed views in the table below. Discover the exact names. Do not search for revenue_analytics, because it does not match warehouse source views:

SELECT table_name FROM system.information_schema.tables
WHERE position(table_name, 'revenue_view') > 0 ORDER BY table_name

If this returns nothing, the project has no revenue source configured yet. Check the governed mrr metric (metric-list) or discover warehouse billing tables, and read their columns before modeling. Do not guess view names.

Managed viewGrainUse for
revenue_item (start here)1 / invoice line itemGross revenue, monthly recurring revenue, revenue by product/customer/period. Implements deferred revenue + currency.
mrr1 / (customer, subscription)Live snapshot of current MRR — not a time series.
customer1 / customerdim_customer: email, country, cohort, metadata.
subscription1 / subscriptionSubscription state for churn/expansion logic.
charge1 / chargeRaw charges; prefer revenue_item unless you specifically need charges.
product1 / productProduct dimension.

Key revenue_item columns: amount (already converted to the project base currency), currency (that base currency), original_amount / original_currency (as charged), is_recurring, customer_id, subscription_id, product_id, group_0_key…group_4_key (B2B account keys), timestamp.

Rules before you model (revenue gotchas)

  1. MRR is empty without a subscription config. For event-based revenue, MRR only populates when a subscription property is configured. Empty MRR + populated gross revenue is expected behaviour, not a bug — say so instead of "fixing" it.
  2. The mrr managed view is a current snapshot, not history ("MRR at the current time"). For MRR over time, sum recurring amount per month from revenue_item (see the recipe), or materialize a monthly snapshot of the mrr view on a schedule.
  3. amount is already in base currency. Use it directly for reporting. Only call convertCurrency(original_currency, 'XXX', original_amount, timestamp) when you need a different target currency, or when working from raw events.
  4. Link revenue to people via metadata. Person/group-level revenue needs posthog_person_distinct_id metadata on the Stripe customer (or the person join). Without it, revenue is customer-level only.
  5. Don't build on the Revenue dashboard — it's being retired (~2026-06-30). Model against the managed revenue views and the person/group revenue properties.
  6. Exclude test accounts. Confirm filter_test_accounts behaviour so QA/internal charges don't inflate revenue.

Step 3 — build the model

PostHog: write the HogQL (alias every column), view-create, verify with view-get, then view-materialize the expensive monthly rollups (a daily sync_frequency is usually right for revenue). Recipes: references/posthog/ — mrr_and_arr.sql, gross_revenue_by_month.sql, revenue_by_customer.sql.

dbt: stage the billing source → fct_revenue_item, fct_mrr, dim_customer marts with tests. Recipes: references/dbt/. Note dbt has no convertCurrency() — supply a rate seed.

Then register the model (references/governance.md in foundations): annotate columns and, if MRR/ARR is a headline number, propose it to the semantic layer.

File map

FileRead when
references/revenue-metric-definitions.mdPrecise definitions: MRR, ARR, gross, new/expansion/contraction/churn, ARPU, LTV.
references/posthog/HogQL view recipes on the managed views.
references/dbt/dbt staging + fct_*/dim_* marts + schema.yml tests.

Companions

modeling-warehouse-foundations (mechanics), setting-up-a-data-warehouse-source + suggesting-data-imports (get Stripe/revenue data in), modeling-dimension-tables (currency/plan dimensions), querying-posthog-data (HogQL + the semantic-layer metric check).

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